Grêmio AnápolisvsBom Jesus EC

COMPLETED

Brazil · Goiano - 2 · 9/23/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bom Jesus EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Grêmio Anápolis 0-1 Bom Jesus EC, with an exact score probability of 21%.

Final result

Grêmio Anápolis 2-2 Bom Jesus EC

Original prediction

Bom Jesus EC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	4.13	21.8%	16.1%	-5.7 pts
Draw	3.19	28.2%	27.7%	-0.5 pts
Away	1.80	50.1%	56.2%	6.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.1 pts

Projected Score

Grêmio Anápolis 0–1 Bom Jesus EC

Exact score probability: 21%

Predicted outcome

Bom Jesus EC

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

Bom Jesus EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Grêmio AnápolisLDDDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5

Bom Jesus ECDDLWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5

Grêmio AnápolisBom Jesus EC

33.3Attack38.5

46.2Defence79.5

25.6Form61.5

37.0Power62.4

0.47xG1.23