Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Njardvik · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Grindavik are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Njardvik are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Njardvik hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 58.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the 1. Deild, while Njardvik holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Njardvik
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
13.3%
Njardvik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60