Grindavikvs
HK Kopavogur
COMPLETEDIceland · 1. Deild · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HK Kopavogur · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grindavik 4-3 HK Kopavogur
Original prediction
HK Kopavogur
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 33.9% | 25.8% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.8% | 20.5% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.14 | 42.3% | 53.7% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
HK Kopavogur
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
HK Kopavogur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80