GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Grimsby are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nottingham Forest U21 have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the EFL Trophy, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

28.2%

Model confidence

13.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GrimsbyLDLDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Nottingham Forest U21No completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
GrimsbyNottingham Forest U21
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24
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