GrimsbyvsManchester City U21

Grimsby are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Manchester City U21 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Grimsby hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Grimsby holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.