GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 8/29/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Grimsby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Grimsby are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Manchester City U21 have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Grimsby hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Grimsby holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Grimsby

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Grimsby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GrimsbyDDWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Manchester City U21No completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
GrimsbyManchester City U21
33.3Attack33.3
33.3Defence11.1
11.1Form11.1
29.5Power23.1
2.00xG1.49
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