Grimsbyvs
Manchester City U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 8/29/2023, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grimsby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Grimsby are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Manchester City U21 have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Grimsby hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 23.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Grimsby holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grimsby
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Grimsby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00