Grimsbyvs
Everton U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/4/2025, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Everton U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Grimsby are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Everton U21 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Everton U21 hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Everton U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Everton U21
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
35.1%
Everton U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80