Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bradford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Grimsby are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bradford are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bradford hold a 51.8-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 81.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.4% in the EFL Trophy, while Bradford holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bradford
Probability
67.4%
Model confidence
67.4%
Bradford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60