GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Wimbledon · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Grimsby are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AFC Wimbledon are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Wimbledon hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the League Two, while AFC Wimbledon holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Wimbledon

Probability

43.6%

Model confidence

43.6%

AFC Wimbledon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GrimsbyLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AFC WimbledonWWDDW

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
GrimsbyAFC Wimbledon
41.3Attack46.4
46.4Defence63.0
35.5Form47.1
42.9Power52.9
0.95xG1.40
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