Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
GrIFK are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Ilves II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and ilves II hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (41.2 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely result in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, favouring Ilves II with 8.6% confidence, a 73% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves II
Probability
70.5%
Model confidence
8.6%
Ilves II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80