Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
GrIFK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
GrIFK 1-1 EBK
Original prediction
GrIFK
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.0% | 54.3% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.6% | 19.7% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.4% | 26.0% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
GrIFK
Probability
54.3%
Model confidence
54.3%
GrIFK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GrIFKWWLWL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
EBKLWLLL
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
GrIFKEBK
42.6Attack50.0
42.6Defence20.4
44.4Form27.8
45.5Power34.3
2.36xG1.58