Greuther Fürth IIvs
Schwaben Augsburg
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Greuther Fürth II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Greuther Fürth II 0-2 Schwaben Augsburg
Original prediction
Greuther Fürth II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.6% | 44.1% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.8% | 27.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.6% | 28.4% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Greuther Fürth II
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Greuther Fürth II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00