Greuther Fürth IIvs
Bayern München II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 10/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bayern München II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Greuther Fürth II 1-1 Bayern München II
Original prediction
Bayern München II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.67 | 34.4% | 32.4% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 24.1% | 28.6% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.5% | 39.0% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Bayern München II
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Bayern München II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00