Gresford Athleticvs
Mold Alexandra
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 9/6/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mold Alexandra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gresford Athletic 1-5 Mold Alexandra
Original prediction
Mold Alexandra
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.86 | 18.7% | 16.8% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 21.0% | 19.5% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 1.50 | 60.3% | 63.7% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Mold Alexandra
Probability
63.7%
Model confidence
63.7%
Mold Alexandra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 14 · avg 0.00/2.80
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80