Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Grenoble are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Paris FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Paris FC hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Ligue 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20