Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metz · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Grenoble are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Metz are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Metz hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 65.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the Ligue 2, while Metz holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Metz
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
15.3%
Metz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20