Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Grenoble 0-0 Boulogne, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Grenoble 0-2 Boulogne
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 33.8% | 31.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.6% | 32.5% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 35.6% | 35.6% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Projected Score
Grenoble 0–0 Boulogne
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.5%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GrenobleLDDWL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BoulogneDLLDD
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
GrenobleBoulogne
33.3Attack16.7
45.8Defence75.0
33.3Form25.0
39.1Power42.1
0.68xG0.85