Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Annecy · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grenoble 1-2 Annecy
Original prediction
Annecy
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.06 | 30.3% | 30.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.8% | 28.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 39.8% | 41.0% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Annecy
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Annecy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GrenobleWLDLL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AnnecyDLWWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
GrenobleAnnecy
41.7Attack41.7
33.3Defence66.7
33.3Form58.3
36.9Power57.5
1.09xG1.39