Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grenada · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grenada 0-3 Cuba
Original prediction
Grenada
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.84 | 32.0% | 37.6% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.6% | 27.6% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 38.3% | 34.8% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Grenada
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Grenada has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GrenadaLLWWW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CubaLLLWL
GF 1 · GA 18 · avg 0.20/3.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
GrenadaCuba
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.94xG1.66