GremiovsSportivo Luqueno

Gremio are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sportivo Luqueno are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gremio hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 31.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Gremio holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.