Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gremio · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Gremio 1-0 Mirassol, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Gremio 1-0 Mirassol
Original prediction
Gremio
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Projected Score
Gremio 1–0 Mirassol
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Gremio
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
15.6%
Gremio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GremioDLDLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
MirassolDWDWL
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
GremioMirassol
58.3Attack33.3
91.7Defence66.7
83.3Form41.7
78.6Power50.3
1.39xG0.72