GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 9/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gremio · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Gremio 3-1 Internacional

Original prediction

Gremio

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.2528.7%37.8%9.1 pts
Draw3.0530.6%29.5%-1.1 pts
Away2.2940.7%32.8%-8.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 2.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.1–014%

Predicted outcome

Gremio

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Gremio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GremioWDLLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
InternacionalLDDDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
GremioInternacional
46.7Attack53.3
93.3Defence66.7
73.3Form66.7
72.0Power64.6
1.15xG0.90
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