Gremiovs
Deportivo Riestra
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/14/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gremio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Gremio are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportivo Riestra are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Gremio hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Gremio holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gremio
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Gremio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00