Gremiovs
Atletico Grau
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/8/2025, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gremio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Gremio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atletico Grau are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gremio hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Gremio holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gremio
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Gremio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20