Greifswalder FCvs
Lokomotive Leipzig
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nordost · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Greifswalder FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Greifswalder FC 3-3 Lokomotive Leipzig
Original prediction
Greifswalder FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.8% | 50.1% | 16.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.2% | 21.5% | -4.7 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 40.0% | 28.4% | -11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Greifswalder FC
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Greifswalder FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80