Greenville Triumphvs
Spokane Velocity
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spokane Velocity · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Greenville Triumph 4-3 Spokane Velocity
Original prediction
Spokane Velocity
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 06:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 33.8% | 28.5% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.0% | 27.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.2% | 44.0% | 4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Spokane Velocity
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Spokane Velocity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00