GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Greenville Triumph · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Greenville Triumph are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Richmond Kickers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Greenville Triumph hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the USL League One, while Greenville Triumph holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Greenville Triumph

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

13.7%

Greenville Triumph has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Greenville TriumphLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Richmond KickersWLWLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Greenville TriumphRichmond Kickers
36.8Attack31.6
43.9Defence38.6
33.3Form31.6
40.1Power36.1
1.47xG0.97
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