Greenville Triumphvs
Richmond Kickers
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 5/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Greenville Triumph · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Greenville Triumph are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Richmond Kickers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Greenville Triumph hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the USL League One, while Greenville Triumph holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Greenville Triumph
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
13.7%
Greenville Triumph has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40