Greenville TriumphvsRichmond Kickers

Greenville Triumph are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Richmond Kickers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Greenville Triumph hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (35.2 v 28.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the USL League One Cup, while Greenville Triumph holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.