GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 3/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Greenville Triumph · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Greenville Triumph are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while NY Cosmos are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Greenville Triumph hold a 10.1-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 29.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the USL League One, while Greenville Triumph holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Greenville Triumph

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Greenville Triumph has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Greenville TriumphLDLLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NY CosmosLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Greenville TriumphNY Cosmos
36.8Attack33.3
43.9Defence25.9
33.3Form20.4
40.1Power29.9
1.82xG1.00
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