Greenville Triumphvs
Naples
SCHEDULEDUSA · USL League One · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Greenville Triumph · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Greenville Triumph are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Naples are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 40.1 against 41.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the USL League One, while Greenville Triumph holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Greenville Triumph
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
14.3%
Greenville Triumph has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00