Greenville Triumphvs
Naples
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Greenville Triumph · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Greenville Triumph 4-0 Naples
Original prediction
Greenville Triumph
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.3% | 38.0% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.1% | 25.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.6% | 36.5% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Greenville Triumph
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Greenville Triumph has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60