Greenville Triumphvs
Forward Madison
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 6/3/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Forward Madison · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Greenville Triumph are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Forward Madison are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Forward Madison hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 64.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.3% in the USL League One, while Forward Madison holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Forward Madison
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Forward Madison has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40