Greenville Triumphvs
Corpus Christi
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/16/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Greenville Triumph · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Greenville Triumph 0-1 Corpus Christi
Original prediction
Greenville Triumph
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 45.6% | 39.3% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.8% | 25.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 27.5% | 35.0% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Greenville Triumph
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Greenville Triumph has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00