Greenville Triumphvs
Chattanooga Red Wolves
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 3/14/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chattanooga Red Wolves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Greenville Triumph are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chattanooga Red Wolves are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga Red Wolves hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.2% in the USL League One, while Chattanooga Red Wolves holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Chattanooga Red Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00