Greenville Triumphvs
Alta
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 6/20/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alta · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Greenville Triumph are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alta are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alta hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the USL League One, while Alta holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alta
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Alta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80