GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 2/24/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Melbourne · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Green Gully are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while South Melbourne are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and South Melbourne hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (29.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the Victoria NPL, while South Melbourne holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Melbourne

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

South Melbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Green GullyL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
South MelbourneW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Green GullySouth Melbourne
27.8Attack52.8
31.9Defence54.2
20.8Form56.9
29.3Power54.7
0.79xG2.16
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