GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 3/13/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

South Melbourne · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Green Gully are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while South Melbourne are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and South Melbourne hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (29.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the Victoria NPL, while South Melbourne holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

South Melbourne

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

South Melbourne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Green GullyDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
South MelbourneWWLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Green GullySouth Melbourne
27.8Attack52.8
31.9Defence54.2
20.8Form56.9
29.3Power54.7
0.79xG2.16
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