GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 3/6/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hume City · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Green Gully are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hume City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold a 34.0-point power-rating edge (29.3 v 63.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.1% in the Victoria NPL, while Hume City holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hume City

Probability

76.1%

Model confidence

76.1%

Hume City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Green GullyLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hume CityWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Green GullyHume City
27.8Attack66.7
31.9Defence55.6
20.8Form63.9
29.3Power63.3
0.75xG2.80
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