Green Buffaloesvs
Nkwazi
COMPLETEDZambia · Super League · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Green Buffaloes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Green Buffaloes 0-0 Nkwazi, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Green Buffaloes 0-0 Nkwazi
Original prediction
Green Buffaloes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 43.9% | 42.3% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 32.0% | 31.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.75 | 24.1% | 26.3% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Projected Score
Green Buffaloes 0–0 Nkwazi
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Green Buffaloes
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Green Buffaloes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60