Greece U21vs
Latvia U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Greece U21 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Greece U21 3-0 Latvia U21, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Greece U21 4-2 Latvia U21
Original prediction
Greece U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 86.5% | 85.6% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 9.81 | 9.4% | 9.4% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 22.02 | 4.2% | 5.1% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Projected Score
Greece U21 3–0 Latvia U21
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Greece U21
Probability
85.6%
Model confidence
85.6%
Greece U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80