Grebbestadvs
Skara
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 9/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Skara · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grebbestad 3-1 Skara
Original prediction
Skara
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 31.0% | 28.2% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.3% | 25.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 44.8% | 46.5% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Skara
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Skara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60