Grebbestadvs
Lidköping
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 9/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grebbestad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grebbestad 0-1 Lidköping
Original prediction
Grebbestad
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.4% | 70.3% | 14.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.95 | 22.9% | 16.5% | -6.4 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 21.7% | 13.2% | -8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Grebbestad
Probability
70.3%
Model confidence
70.3%
Grebbestad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00