Division 2 - Norra GötalandDivision 2 - Norra Götaland
Wednesday, 24 June 2026Last updated 10:01
Grebbestad

Grebbestad

Home
W
21
Full time
Kumla

Kumla

Away
DL
GoalVio prediction
58% confidence
Grebbestad(58%)
Most likely exact score2-0
Prediction correct— Result: Grebbestad
Win probability
Grebbestad
58%
Draw
25%
Kumla
17%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Grebbestad
73
Kumla
34
Defence
Grebbestad
66
Kumla
46
Momentum
Grebbestad
100
Kumla
17
Danger (xG)
Grebbestad
1.80
Kumla
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Grebbestad)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Kumla)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Grebbestad)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Kumla)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
GrebbestadGrebbestad
WW
KumlaKumla
LDL

Probability breakdown

58% confidence
Grebbestad58%
Draw25%
Kumla17%

Grebbestad leads with 58% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Grebbestad head into this in Division 2 - Norra Götaland fixture in mixed form (W), while Kumla arrive in mixed form (DL). Grebbestad have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Kumla over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Grebbestad's strong attack (73/100) faces a average Kumla defence (46/100), while Kumla's attack is up against a solid Grebbestad backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Grebbestad's favour.

Grebbestad have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Kumla have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Grebbestad have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Grebbestad to win with 58% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-0. Win probabilities: Grebbestad 5814%, Draw 2455%, Kumla 1731%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Grebbestad 1Draws 00 Kumla
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
24 Jun 2026
Grebbestad
W21
Kumla

Recent form

Grebbestad

Grebbestad

W
vs Kumla
24 Jun 2026
21
W
@ Lidköping
14 May 2026
31
Kumla

Kumla

L
@ Grebbestad
24 Jun 2026
12
D
vs Ahlafors
7 Jun 2026
11
L
vs Skara
14 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Grebbestad vs Kumla?

GoalVio's model predicts Grebbestad to win with 58% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Grebbestad vs Kumla?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.

Will both teams score in Grebbestad vs Kumla?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Grebbestad vs Kumla?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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