Grazer AKvs
Red Bull Salzburg
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Red Bull Salzburg · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (13%), 0-4 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grazer AK 0-0 Red Bull Salzburg
Original prediction
Red Bull Salzburg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.16 | 18.1% | 11.6% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.33 | 21.6% | 16.2% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 1.55 | 60.3% | 72.2% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–313%
- 3.0–410%
Predicted outcome
Red Bull Salzburg
Probability
72.2%
Model confidence
72.2%
Red Bull Salzburg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60