Grazer AKvs
Austria Vienna
COMPLETEDAustria · Bundesliga · 9/19/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austria Vienna · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grazer AK 2-2 Austria Vienna
Original prediction
Austria Vienna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 36.7% | 35.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 28.1% | 26.9% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.64 | 35.2% | 37.2% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Austria Vienna
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Austria Vienna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20