Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grassina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grassina 1-0 Progresso
Original prediction
Grassina
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 October 2026 at 02:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Grassina
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Grassina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GrassinaD
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
ProgressoLLWLD
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GrassinaProgresso
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24