Grasshoppersvs
FC ST. Gallen
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · Super League · 9/2/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC ST. Gallen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grasshoppers 2-0 FC ST. Gallen
Original prediction
FC ST. Gallen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.09 | 22.8% | 26.5% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.01 | 23.3% | 22.4% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 53.9% | 51.1% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–37%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
FC ST. Gallen
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
FC ST. Gallen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80