GGOALVIO

Lithuania · Cup · 5/5/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Granitas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Granitas are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Viltis Vilnius are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Granitas hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 47.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Cup, while Granitas holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Granitas

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Granitas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GranitasW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Viltis VilniusW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
GranitasViltis Vilnius
50.0Attack55.6
50.0Defence11.1
50.0Form66.7
53.0Power47.7
2.67xG1.94
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