Grand-Saconnexvs
Paradiso
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · 8/29/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grand-Saconnex · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grand-Saconnex 2-5 Paradiso
Original prediction
Grand-Saconnex
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 42.8% | 46.5% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.1% | 24.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.1% | 29.5% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Grand-Saconnex
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Grand-Saconnex has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60