Grand-Saconnexvs
Breitenrain
COMPLETEDSwitzerland · 1. Liga Promotion · 9/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grand-Saconnex · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Grand-Saconnex 1-0 Breitenrain
Original prediction
Grand-Saconnex
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 44.7% | 41.3% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.8% | 22.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 31.5% | 36.0% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Grand-Saconnex
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Grand-Saconnex has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20