Granadavs
Real Sociedad W
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División Femenina · 9/7/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Sociedad W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Granada 3-2 Real Sociedad W
Original prediction
Real Sociedad W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.75 | 19.1% | 33.9% | 14.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.9% | 26.6% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 1.59 | 57.0% | 39.4% | -17.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Real Sociedad W
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Real Sociedad W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00